{"id":27882,"date":"2026-04-24T05:58:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T05:58:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=27882"},"modified":"2026-04-24T05:58:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T05:58:23","slug":"the-question-every-investor-gets-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=27882","title":{"rendered":"The Question Every Investor Gets Wrong"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A Note From Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld:<\/strong> I\u2019ve known Keith Kaplan, the CEO of TradeSmith, for a long time.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s a fun guy with a great sense of humor, but he doesn\u2019t suffer fools. He doesn\u2019t waste his time or anyone else\u2019s.<\/p>\n

So when he reaches out to me and says, \u201cMarc, you should really take a look at this,\u201d I stop what I\u2019m doing and dig into what he sent me.<\/p>\n

And my reaction is usually, \u201cDang, I wish he\u2019d sent this sooner.\u201d<\/p>\n

That\u2019s why we wanted to send this to you right away: so you have the chance to see TradeSmith\u2019s new AI as it\u2019s rolled out.<\/p>\n

Tomorrow morning, during a special online event called The AI Signals Trading Event<\/a>, Keith will unveil a new form of AI that he says could crush the market by 10-fold<\/strong> over the next 12 months.<\/p>\n

Learn more \u2013 and claim your FREE spot \u2013 here.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Are you bullish or bearish?<\/p>\n

As an investor, it\u2019s a question you hear a lot.<\/p>\n

A brother-in-law asks you at a family barbeque. A CNBC host asks a bigshot economist which way the market is headed. Or your broker sends you his annual outlook.<\/p>\n

Heck, every week going back to 1987, the American Association of Individual Investors has asked its members which direction they think the market is headed over the next six months.<\/p>\n

Millions of investors all asking the same question \u2013 and all missing the point.<\/p>\n

The bull-or-bear question is a rookie trap.<\/p>\n

Professional investors \u2013 especially the folks inside the world\u2019s most profitable hedge funds \u2013 don\u2019t think in these terms. They look for ways to profit whether stocks are going up or down.<\/p>\n

Nobody understood this better than Jim Simons.<\/p>\n

He didn\u2019t build the most profitable hedge fund in history, Renaissance Technologies, by trying to predict the direction of the market. Instead, he used advanced algorithms \u2013 and reams of market data \u2013 to unearth repeating \u201csignals\u201d in stocks that point to high-probability trade setups.<\/p>\n

Bull market or bear market, it didn\u2019t matter. The signals worked either way.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s the same principle behind the new AI-powered trading system my team and I at TradeSmith have spent more than a year developing.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s inspired by Simons\u2019 search for signals. And the results have blown us away.<\/p>\n

In a five-year backtest, a model portfolio of these signals\u2019 trades turned $10,000 into $1.2 million.<\/p>\n

And in 2022 \u2013 the worst year for stocks in half a century \u2013 they produced an average gain of 16.6% while the S&P 500 fell<\/em> nearly 20%.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll show you more about how it works in a moment. Better still, I\u2019ll give access to a beta version<\/a> of our software so you can try it for yourself.<\/p>\n

First, it\u2019s important to understand how Simons pioneered this unorthodox trading technique. It started in a cramped office in a Long Island strip mall \u2013 about as far from the glitz of Wall Street as you can get.<\/p>\n

The Search for Unique Signals<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Simons had just walked away from his tenured position heading up the math department at Stony Brook University. And he was running his fledgling trading firm out of a nearby mall.<\/p>\n

He wasn\u2019t interested in earnings reports or analyst forecasts. He knew that if you did what everyone else was doing, you\u2019d get the same returns as everyone else. He wanted to beat the market, not just track it.<\/p>\n

So, he looked for unique signals \u2013 obscure, repeatable patterns buried in reams of market data that pointed to predictable moves.<\/p>\n

To find them, he didn\u2019t hire Wall Street traders. Instead, he hired mathematicians, physicists, and \u2013 notably \u2013 two IBM scientists who spent their careers building speech recognition models.<\/p>\n

They\u2019d been building computer models to predict the next word in a sentence based on patterns in prior text. Simons told them to apply the same logic to stocks.<\/p>\n

Renaissance Technologies averaged 66% annual gross returns over the next four decades. This made it the most profitable hedge fund in history.<\/p>\n

For obvious reasons, Simons wasn\u2019t in a rush to share his secrets. So, this market-beating approach stayed locked inside a handful of elite hedge funds, widening the wealth gap instead of narrowing it.<\/p>\n

But over our 21-year history, our mission at TradeSmith has been to put hedge-fund-level tools in the hands of regular investors. And with our latest innovation, we\u2019re blowing that Wall Street secret wide open.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve Never Gone This Deep Before<\/strong><\/h2>\n

We\u2019re a financial technology firm based in Baltimore, Maryland that develops hedge-fund-level analytical systems for self-directed investors.<\/p>\n

More than 134,000 people in 86 countries use our software to manage more than $29 billion in assets. And we\u2019re always innovating \u2013 testing trading strategies, financial metrics, and data patterns to uncover profitable systems and indicators.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s what\u2019s gotten us featured in Forbes<\/em>, The Wall Street Journal<\/em>, and The Economist<\/em>.<\/p>\n

It started with our risk management software, TradeStops. It takes the emotions out of investing by showing you the ideal time to sell your stocks.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve also created software that spots hidden seasonality patterns in stocks\u2026 finds undervalued options plays\u2026 and uses AI to forecast stock moves up to 21 trading days out.<\/p>\n

But our new system goes deeper than we\u2019ve ever gone before.<\/p>\n

It evaluates 2.09 million potential trades a day across 2,467 stocks. It runs each one through 847 individual calculations, hunting for the same kinds of signals Simons built his career on.<\/p>\n

When the right combination of factors aligns, our system flags it as a high-probability trade setup.<\/p>\n

The results speak for themselves.<\/p>\n

Historical Win Rates of 90% and Higher<\/strong><\/h2>\n

For instance, on October 30, 2020 \u2013 with markets rattled by a new COVID variant \u2013 the same system flagged a Palantir (PLTR)<\/strong> thumbprint with a 95% historical success rate.<\/p>\n

It showed that every time Palantir had gone down at least three days in a row\u2026 its daily price swings were shrinking\u2026 and at least 5,000 U.S. hospitals were accepting new patients\u2026 the stock was on the verge of a jump.<\/p>\n

The forecast called for a 5.8% gain in nine days. The backtested result was even better: 15.1% in seven days.<\/p>\n

\"Chart:<\/a><\/p>\n

What do hospital numbers have to do with Palantir\u2019s share price?<\/p>\n

It turns out, a lot.<\/p>\n

Palantir\u2019s biggest clients are hospitals. With about 6,100 hospitals operating across the U.S., a drop below 5,000 open facilities would be trouble for the company\u2019s revenue. When hospital numbers fall, Palantir\u2019s business feels it \u2013 and so does its share price.<\/p>\n

Our system is built to find those kinds of connections. Not the hospital figures themselves, but the imprints they leave behind in the data.<\/p>\n

And remember, this signal fired during the pandemic. Which brings me to an important point about how it works.<\/p>\n

Bull or Bear Market: Our System Doesn\u2019t Care<\/strong><\/h2>\n

No one knows exactly why each signal has a history of preceding a big move.<\/p>\n

And frankly, it doesn\u2019t matter. Our system is looking for alignments that have worked before \u2013 even when there\u2019s no obvious reason why.<\/p>\n

That means this new kind of trading system doesn\u2019t care whether we\u2019re in a bull or a bear market. It doesn\u2019t need a strong economy or a calm geopolitical environment. It just needs certain factors to align.<\/p>\n

One example is a signal on Walmart (WMT)<\/strong> that has fired 24 times over the past decade \u2013 a rare alignment of three specific conditions in the stock\u2019s price history.<\/p>\n

WMT has to reverse its trend one day\u2026 hit a higher high and a lower low the next day\u2026 then close down for the day. When those specific factors align, it\u2019s gone on to post a winning trade 92% of the time.<\/p>\n

This signal worked in the bull market of 2019 and the bear market of 2022. It even worked in 2017, after one of Walmart\u2019s worst earnings reports in a decade.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s what makes it so powerful today. With oil at elevated levels\u2026 and rising stock market volatility\u2026 you don\u2019t want to be relying on a system that only works in good times.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll walk you through how it works in more detail \u2013 including the patterns it\u2019s tracking right now and the trades it\u2019s flagging for the weeks ahead \u2013 during our launch event.<\/p>\n

It kicks off tomorrow, April\u00a022, at 10\u00a0a.m. Eastern<\/strong>. So make sure to clear some time in your calendar and register your interest<\/a>.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll not only hold your spot. We\u2019ll also give you immediate access to the new beta version of our software ahead of the event.<\/p>\n

Go here to register for the launch and take it for a spin.<\/a><\/strong> You can use it to find active signals on thousands of stocks \u2013 at no charge \u2013 in the lead-up to the event.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve been working on this new trading system for the past 12 months. And since becoming CEO of TradeSmith, I\u2019ve never been more excited about what we\u2019re about to reveal. So, I hope to see you there.<\/p>\n

Keith Kaplan
CEO, TradeSmith<\/p>\n

P.S.<\/strong> We\u2019ve already let a small group of investors test the system ahead of the launch.<\/p>\n

One beta user, Edward V., reported a perfect success rate on every trade he\u2019d closed so far. Another, John M., called it a \u201cgame-changer.\u201d<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s that link<\/a> to register now to access the beta software before tomorrow\u2019s launch event.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n