{"id":24527,"date":"2026-01-08T10:09:23","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T10:09:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=24527"},"modified":"2026-01-08T10:09:23","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T10:09:23","slug":"safety-net-the-great-dividend-predictor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=24527","title":{"rendered":"Safety Net: The Great Dividend Predictor"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><em>\u201cOops, I did it again\u201d<\/em><br \/><em>\u2013 Britney Spears<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In 2025, Safety Net was once again an excellent resource for evaluating the safety of a company\u2019s dividend.<\/p>\n<p>During the year, 10 stocks were rated \u201cA\u201d for dividend safety. None of them cut their dividends. In fact, since 2023, not one of the 29 \u201cA\u201d-rated stocks has lowered its payout within a year after we evaluated it.<\/p>\n<p>Even more impressive, 50% of 2025\u2019s \u201cA\u201d-rated stocks <em>boosted<\/em> their dividends during the year, including <strong>Iron Mountain<\/strong> (NYSE: IRM), which raised its dividend by 10% six months after my \u201cA\u201d rating was released, <strong>Delek Logistics Partners<\/strong> (NYSE: DKL), which raised its distribution each quarter, and <strong>MPLX<\/strong> (NYSE: MPLX), which hiked its payout by 12% less than a week after I gave it an \u201cA\u201d rating.<\/p>\n<p>I only gave four stocks a \u201cB\u201d for dividend safety in 2025, but two of them boosted their dividends, while the other two kept them the same. There were no cuts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Energy Transfer<\/strong> (NYSE: ET) was rated \u201cB\u201d in April and raised its distribution every quarter in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>There were seven stocks whose dividends were considered to have a moderate risk of being cut, receiving a \u201cC\u201d rating. Two raised their dividends; two cut them. The average change to the dividend of those seven stocks was -10.6%.<\/p>\n<p>There were a handful of cuts among the \u201cD\u201d and \u201cF\u201d-rated stocks as well. We gave 12 stocks a \u201cD\u201d grade, and 17 others were rated \u201cF.\u201d Two out of the 12 \u201cD\u201ds lowered their dividends, while three out of the 17 \u201cF\u201ds did so.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cD\u201d-rated stocks had the biggest average drop at 12.4%. \u201cF\u201d-rated stocks only saw a 6.4% average decline, but that number is skewed a bit by one variable dividend that saw a sizable \u2013 yet likely temporary \u2013 increase.<\/p>\n<p>Back in February, <strong>Stellantis<\/strong> (NYSE: STLA) slashed its dividend by more than 50% a week after I issued a \u201cD\u201d rating on the stock.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Advanced Flower Capital<\/strong>\u2019s (Nasdaq: AFCG) dividend wilted in 2025. After I gave it a \u201cD\u201d rating, management proved me right by cutting the dividend twice and then skipping it altogether in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n<p>In June, Research Analyst John Oravec said there was a strong likelihood that <strong>OFS Capital<\/strong> (Nasdaq: OFS) would \u201chave a repeat of 2020 with a cut coming down the line\u201d before slapping the stock with an \u201cF\u201d rating. The dividend was cut in half in December.<\/p>\n<p>All in all, it was another terrific year for Safety Net.<\/p>\n<p><a style=\"text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20260107_WR-safety-net.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full img-fluid img-responsive cc_pointer\" style=\"width: 550px; max-width: 100%; display: block; margin: 0 auto;\" src=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20260107_WR-safety-net.jpg\" alt=\"Chart: Safety Net Kept You Safe Again in 2025\" width=\"550\" height=\"auto\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thanks to all of you who submitted requests for stocks to be evaluated in the Safety Net column. Keep them coming! Leave the ticker symbols in the comments section below.<\/p>\n<p>You can also check to see if I\u2019ve rated your favorite dividend payer recently. Just type the company name in the search box in the upper-right corner of this page, and hit \u201center.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script>\n  window.fbAsyncInit = function() {\n    FB.init({\n      appId      : '555402891275842',\n      xfbml      : true,\n      version    : 'v20.0'\n    });\n    FB.AppEvents.logPageView();\n  };\n  (function(d, s, id){\n     var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];\n     if (d.getElementById(id)) {return;}\n     js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;\n     js.src = \"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js\";\n     fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);\n   }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));\n<\/script><script>\n    (function(d, s, id) {\n      var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];\n      if (d.getElementById(id)) return;\n      js = d.createElement(s);\n      js.id = id;\n      js.src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&version=v3.1&appId=555402891275842&autoLogAppEvents=1\";\n      fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);\n    }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));\n  <\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/wealthyretirement.com\/safety-net\/safety-net-the-great-dividend-predictor\/?source=app\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cOops, I did it again\u201d\u2013 Britney Spears In 2025, Safety Net was once again an excellent resource for evaluating the safety of a company\u2019s dividend. During the year, 10 stocks were rated \u201cA\u201d for dividend safety. None of them cut their dividends. In fact, since 2023, not one of the 29 \u201cA\u201d-rated stocks has lowered<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24528,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[348],"tags":[230,352,1723,5301,3448],"class_list":{"0":"post-24527","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-retirement","8":"tag-dividend","9":"tag-great","10":"tag-net","11":"tag-predictor","12":"tag-safety"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24527"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24527\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}