{"id":22138,"date":"2025-10-24T11:33:54","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T11:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=22138"},"modified":"2025-10-24T11:33:54","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T11:33:54","slug":"highlights-from-mpcs-lender-panel-a-steadier-market-and-new-opportunities-for-brokers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=22138","title":{"rendered":"Highlights from MPC\u2019s lender panel: a steadier market and new opportunities for brokers"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Representatives from some of Canada\u2019s largest mortgage lenders say the housing market has held up far better than expected this year. Borrowers have largely adjusted to higher rates, and lenders expect brokers to capture a growing share of the market as demand normalizes.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"721\" height=\"1016\" src=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Jason-Ellis-2025.jpg\" alt=\"Jason Ellis\" class=\"wp-image-76357\" style=\"width:275px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Jason-Ellis-2025.jpg 721w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Jason-Ellis-2025-71x100.jpg 71w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Jason-Ellis-2025-500x705.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><strong>Jason Ellis, First National<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Speaking at the Mortgage Professionals Canada\u2019s National Conference in Ottawa, senior executives from First National, Scotiabank, CMLS Financial, MCAP and BMO described 2025 as a year of resilience, not retreat, marked by disciplined borrowers, balanced regional performance and early signs of renewed confidence.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s been no renewal cliff,\u201d said Jason Ellis, president and CEO of First National. \u201cNone of us up here have seen any evidence of a collapse. The housing market has held together, and arrears are less than 15 basis points.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Brian Carey, executive vice-president and COO of MCAP, emphasized keeping perspective. He noted that MCAP expects over $20 billion in residential mortgage activity this year, and more than $30 billion across all business lines. \u201cThe residential mortgage market in Canada is $2.7 trillion today,\u201d he said. \u201cIf we go back 10 years, it was about $1.7 trillion. So if you look over that period of time, it\u2019s grown quite nicely.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Carey added that the picture varies widely across the country, with some regions continuing to show strength while others still struggling.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"593\" height=\"832\" src=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Tracy.jpg\" alt=\"Tracy Gomes\" class=\"wp-image-76510\" style=\"width:275px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Tracy.jpg 593w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Tracy-71x100.jpg 71w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Tracy-500x702.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 593px) 100vw, 593px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong><em>T<\/em><\/strong><em><strong>racy Gomes, Scotiabank<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cIf I were to look at Alberta, the Prairies and the Maritimes, the market has actually been doing okay,\u201d he added. \u201cPrices have continued to go up in those markets because they didn\u2019t peak out like they did in 2021 and 2022 in Toronto and Vancouver.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tracy Gomes, senior vice-president of real estate secured lending at Scotiabank, said clients are making disciplined choices as they adjust to a higher-rate environment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAside from housing itself, the mortgage market was great,\u201d she said. \u201cWe had a lot of renewals coming up for our borrowers this year, and so that was a very healthy switch and refinance market for anybody who\u2019s in the mortgage lending business.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Reflecting on the year\u2019s broader policy changes, moderator Mary Putnam, senior vice-president of sales and marketing at Canada Guaranty, said this year\u2019s federal mortgage rule changes have made a noticeable difference in improving affordability and giving buyers greater flexibility.<\/p>\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key data from Canada Guaranty\u2019s portfolio:<\/strong><\/h6>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1261\" height=\"1596\" src=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary.jpg\" alt=\"Mary putnam\" class=\"wp-image-76518\" style=\"width:275px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary.jpg 1261w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary-79x100.jpg 79w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary-770x975.jpg 770w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary-1214x1536.jpg 1214w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Mary-500x633.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1261px) 100vw, 1261px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><strong>Mary Putnam, Canada Guaranty<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>56% of new high-ratio originations this year opted for a 30-year amortization.<\/li>\n<li>46% of those borrowers would not have qualified for the same home at 25 years.<\/li>\n<li>3.5% of insured volume now exceeds $1 million, following the new $1.5-million cap.<\/li>\n<li>64% of new high-ratio insured business originates through the broker channel.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Putnam said the changes have helped bring more balance to the market. \u201cIt gave first-time homebuyers an opportunity to buy in a rational process where for many years it was very hard,\u201d she said, noting that many buyers previously felt pressured to waive conditions before securing approvals. \u201cSo that has made a big, big difference.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Lenders see a maturing cycle, and a stable path ahead<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Panelists agreed the market has entered a steadier phase, with borrowers adapting, arrears remaining low and brokers playing a central role in guiding clients through changing conditions. <\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s a look at some of the standout moments and insights from MPC\u2019s lender panel.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On arrears and borrower resilience<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cThere\u2019s been no renewals cliff\u2026 none of us up here have seen any evidence of a collapse. The housing market has held together, and arrears are less than 15 basis points.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial:<\/strong> \u201cWith the renewal wave\u2026 clients that were at 1.5%, 2%, 2.5%, going into stuff that\u2019s 250 basis points higher\u2026 the Canadian consumer continues to meet their debt obligations.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On rate trends and product mix<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cWe\u2019re almost certainly going to see one more cut\u2014maybe in October or December\u2014and then that\u2019s it. We\u2019ve got a normally shaped curve, it\u2019s not inverted, and a normal curve is our friend right now.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ellis:<\/strong> \u201cOur residential borrowers have this terrible habit of picking the wrong product at the wrong time. In 2021, when the five-year fixed was about 1.65%, more than 60% of borrowers chose adjustable rate.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Amir Tehrani, BMO:<\/strong> \u201cRight now, we\u2019re seeing probably like 30% of production going to variable rate. The 3-year was very popular; [but] it\u2019s becoming less popular. We\u2019re seeing a gradual shift to 5-year fixed, but variable rate is still very much in people\u2019s minds.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On policy changes and affordability<\/strong><\/h3>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"651\" height=\"862\" src=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Brian.jpg\" alt=\"Brian Carey\" class=\"wp-image-76512\" style=\"width:275px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Brian.jpg 651w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Brian-76x100.jpg 76w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Brian-500x662.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><strong>Brian Carey, MCAP<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tracy Gomes, Scotiabank:<\/strong> said the new federal rule allowing 30-year amortizations for insured new construction has had a clear impact on buyer behaviour. \u201cIt certainly made a huge difference,\u201d she said. \u201cIt was an important step in helping consumers with affordability. We saw a banner year; we were up 25% year-over-year in the insured space. Half of that took 30-year, and more than half of them didn\u2019t need to take the 30 years. \u201cIn my view, that\u2019s very sort of disciplined behaviour on the consumer side of lowering their payments, knowing that they can take advantage of the flexible payment options, and then bring bring that amortization back down when it\u2019s convenient for them.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial:<\/strong> said recent policy changes are giving borrowers more flexibility to move up the credit spectrum over time. \u201cProviding consumers with choice to graduate on the credit curve without penalizing them gives them options and flexibility,\u201d he said. \u201cMoving into a prime shop and getting a lower rate is a really good outcome.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Brian Carey, MCAP:<\/strong> \u201cMunicipal development fees\u2026 end up making, you know, upwards of 20% of the purchase price.\u201d He added that Ontario alone has 440 municipalities, each with its own rules, and urged lower development charges and better coordination across governments to avoid policies working at cross-purposes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On broker share and growth<\/strong><\/h3>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"676\" height=\"830\" src=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Andrew.jpg\" alt=\"Andrew Gilmour\" class=\"wp-image-76515\" style=\"width:275px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Andrew.jpg 676w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Andrew-81x100.jpg 81w, https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Andrew-500x614.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial:<\/strong> \u201cIf you look at England or Australia, broker share is closer to 75% [versus Canada\u2019s ~33%]\u2026We\u2019re still playing catch-up, but there\u2019s lots of true organic growth for brokers.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tracy Gomes, Scotiabank:<\/strong> \u201cAt Scotia, we love having multiple channels so clients can access a mortgage where they want. Clients more and more are choosing a broker for the advice sophistication at a very key moment when you\u2019re buying a house or doing a mortgage transaction. Broker business brings us new clients to Scotia\u2014it\u2019s great business for us, whether they\u2019re first-time homebuyers or mid-career clients, because it\u2019s an opportunity to start a long-term relationship.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cAs a guy who spent the better part of the last six months talking to private equity investors about the mortgage industry in Canada, a big part of the message was we have a housing market that grows year over year over year. And we are growing within that growing market. So there is a tailwind, and there\u2019s a long way to go for brokers.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On technology and AI<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tracy Gomes, Scotiabank:<\/strong> \u201cWe\u2019ve gone from pilots and experiments to real use cases. In the mortgage space, one of the big opportunities that we\u2019re using AI for is generative AI for documentation and application review\u2026so checking appraisals, checking purchase and sale agreements, checking trade lines and bureaus and all the application inputs so that you\u2019re streamlining the accuracy and you\u2019re spending more time on good judgment and the reasonability of the deal.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial:<\/strong> \u201cWe take the Iron Man or the Marvel  character approach: there\u2019s still a human underneath, but the suit super-powers our underwriters\u2026 AI is so much better at detecting fraud\u2026 you\u2019ll start to see that stuff get auto-approved, or close to it.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cIf you\u2019re not already using AI, you\u2019d better be developing use cases. We work in a seasonal business, and if we can create capacity and scalability with these tools, it will be\u2014and already is\u2014revolutionary. If you\u2019re not doing it, you\u2019ll look over your shoulder in two and a half years and realize you\u2019ve been left behind.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On lender\u2013broker operations<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cIf you want to help us help you, one of the most valuable and free options we give away is holding interest rates on pre-approvals and commitments. We usually give about 48 hours\u2019 notice when rates are moving higher\u2014so help us help you by getting your applications in as early as you can.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Amir Tehrani, BMO:<\/strong> \u201cAnother thing for us would be submitting documentation upfront. On our non-broker channels, we almost have 100% documentation upfront, so our systems are built that way. On the broker side, when documents come in last minute, fraud detection and other processes kick in\u2014and every time a new document arrives, we may have to restart the whole process. My ask is to give us five, six, seven days if you can. There\u2019s always going to be rush deals, but some brokers, we\u2019re seeing a higher percentage of those last-minute submissions, which just slows the whole thing up.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Brian Carey, MCAP:<\/strong> \u201cWe spend almost $50 million a year on IT, just to put some context around that.<em> <\/em>The better that data is, the quicker we can get back to you and make a good decision.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On consolidation and what\u2019s next<\/strong><\/h3>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Andrew Gilmour, CMLS Financial:<\/strong> \u201cFor those that aren\u2019t aware, Nesto acquired CMLS in June 2024. I was part of the deal team\u2026we really felt like the Tetris pieces fit well together. We had a commercial business that was fully formed and they were in that space, they had great technology, we were both interested in the DPO (Depository Products Offering) space, and in general, we saw the residential broker market as a way that we could expand and expand rapidly.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jason Ellis, First National:<\/strong> \u201cFirst National will be transitioning back to a private company. On Wednesday, we\u2019ll close our agreement with Birch Hill and Brookfield Private Equity. When we wake up Thursday morning, nothing will be any different \u2014 just a few different board members and a bit more hassle for me from a reporting perspective. But they are going to empower us with capital and technology and some great intellectual resources, but otherwise it\u2019s business as usual at First National.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\">\n<p><em>Photo credits: Amy Godin Photography<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Visited 27 times, 27 visit(s) today<\/p>\n<p class=\"tmnf_posttag\">Andrew Gilmour bmo Brian Carey canada guaranty cmls First National Jason Ellis lender panel lenders Mary Putnam mortgage professionals canada National Conference scotiabank Tracy Gomes<\/p>\n<p class=\"modified small cntr\" itemprop=\"dateModified\">Last modified: October 24, 2025<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.canadianmortgagetrends.com\/2025\/10\/highlights-from-mpcs-lender-panel-a-steadier-market-and-new-opportunities-for-brokers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Representatives from some of Canada\u2019s largest mortgage lenders say the housing market has held up far better than expected this year. Borrowers have largely adjusted to higher rates, and lenders expect brokers to capture a growing share of the market as demand normalizes. Jason Ellis, First National Speaking at the Mortgage Professionals Canada\u2019s National Conference<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[216],"tags":[763,5101,2983,94,8631,1228,346,8632],"class_list":{"0":"post-22138","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mortgage","8":"tag-brokers","9":"tag-highlights","10":"tag-lender","11":"tag-market","12":"tag-mpcs","13":"tag-opportunities","14":"tag-panel","15":"tag-steadier"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=22138"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22138\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/22139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=22138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=22138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=22138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}