{"id":17309,"date":"2025-06-26T16:57:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T16:57:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=17309"},"modified":"2025-06-26T16:57:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T16:57:11","slug":"how-the-stock-market-made-it-back-to-a-new-record-even-with-so-much-still-to-worry-about","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=17309","title":{"rendered":"How the stock market made it back to a new record \u2014 even with so much still to worry about"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"InlineImage-imageEmbed\" id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-108162818\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<div class=\"InlineImage-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<p>Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 23, 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Brendan McDermid | Reuters<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>An aggressive trade war, Middle East escalation and AI competitions overseas \u2014 None of 2025&#8217;s big curveballs managed to spoil the market&#8217;s epic comeback from the year&#8217;s lows as stocks stand within reach of a new record. Here&#8217;s why.<\/p>\n<p>The <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1\">S&amp;P 500<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> is just 0.85% away from closing at a new record, rebounding from a near 20% sell-off in April. The tech-focused <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-2\">Nasdaq 100<span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> is already one step ahead, hitting an all-time high on Tuesday. The latest leg higher came as investors bet a ceasefire\u00a0in the Middle East could prevent a major disruption to global oil supply.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m surprised by the magnitude of the rebound,&#8221; said Kevin Simpson, portfolio manager at Capital Wealth Planning. &#8220;When you factor in the geopolitical backdrop \u2014 the ongoing conflict, volatility and uncertainty \u2014 I wouldn&#8217;t have expected the S&amp;P 500 to snap back to new highs this quickly. This kind of strength speaks to just how much liquidity is still in the system and how eager investors are to buy dips in a market dominated by megacap tech and AI enthusiasm.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Overall, the wall of worry has been crumbling little by little over the past four months. Perhaps most importantly, President Donald Trump backed off from the stiffest tariffs on key U.S. partners as countries continue to negotiate trade deals in the summer. Earlier this month, the U.S. reached a trade truce with China with Beijing agreeing to supply rare earths.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We expect more trade deals to provide some additional clarity and eventually reduce corporate, consumer and investor anxiety,&#8221; Chris Haverland, global equity strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute., said in a note. &#8220;Deregulation, tax cuts and lower short-term borrowing rates should further bolster earnings.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Also, corporate earnings have held up well despite policy uncertainty. For the second quarter, the S&amp;P 500 earnings grew by 4.9%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year earnings growth for the index, according to FactSet.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">Economy in good shape<\/h3>\n<p>Another reason for market resilience is the U.S. economy, which remains on solid footing. The unemployment rate remains low at 4.2% also the\u00a0May nonfarm payrolls report\u00a0showed only a slight\u00a0softening in the labor market. The most\u00a0recent inflation data\u00a0also indicated that tariffs have done little to affect prices.<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve expects to make two rate reductions later this year, according to the closely watched &#8220;dot plot.&#8221; Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that he expects policymakers to stay on hold until they have a better handle on the impact tariffs will have on prices.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In our baseline scenario we believe a US recession will be avoided,&#8221; Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief global equity strategist at JPMorgan, said in a note to clients. &#8220;Recent weakness in some of the labour market indicators and limited pass-through from tariffs to inflation so far could prompt a Fed easing earlier than our December forecast.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ArticleBody-smallSubtitle\">AI story intact<\/h3>\n<p>Meanwhile, the artificial intelligence story that has supported the market well over two years continues to be unfazed. The latest earnings season has restored investor confidence \u2014 Nvidia continued to grow at a rapid clip, while Big Tech&#8217;s spending on AI hasn&#8217;t slowed down. Investors were rattled at the beginning of the year as China&#8217;s DeepSeek startup raised the question whether the billions of dollars of investment was justified.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"Collapsible-proliveCollapsableContainer\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"256\" height=\"256\" viewbox=\"0 0 256 256\" aria-labelledby=\"title desc\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" preserveaspectratio=\"xMinYMin\" class=\"Collapsible-stockChartIcon\"><title>Stock Chart Icon<\/title><desc>Stock chart icon<\/desc><g transform=\"translate(1.4065934065934016 1.4065934065934016) scale(2.81 2.81)\"><path d=\"M 87.994 0 H 69.342 c -1.787 0 -2.682 2.16 -1.418 3.424 l 5.795 5.795 l -33.82 33.82 L 28.056 31.196 l -3.174 -3.174 c -1.074 -1.074 -2.815 -1.074 -3.889 0 L 0.805 48.209 c -1.074 1.074 -1.074 2.815 0 3.889 l 3.174 3.174 c 1.074 1.074 2.815 1.074 3.889 0 l 15.069 -15.069 l 14.994 14.994 c 1.074 1.074 2.815 1.074 3.889 0 l 1.614 -1.614 c 0.083 -0.066 0.17 -0.125 0.247 -0.202 l 37.1 -37.1 l 5.795 5.795 C 87.84 23.34 90 22.445 90 20.658 V 2.006 C 90 0.898 89.102 0 87.994 0 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><path d=\"M 65.626 37.8 v 49.45 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 23.518 L 65.626 37.8 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><path d=\"M 47.115 56.312 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 42.03 L 47.115 56.312 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><path d=\"M 39.876 60.503 c -1.937 0 -3.757 -0.754 -5.127 -2.124 l -6.146 -6.145 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 59.844 C 41.952 60.271 40.933 60.503 39.876 60.503 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><path d=\"M 22.937 46.567 L 11.051 58.453 c -0.298 0.298 -0.621 0.562 -0.959 0.8 V 87.25 c 0 1.519 1.231 2.75 2.75 2.75 h 8.782 c 1.519 0 2.75 -1.231 2.75 -2.75 V 48.004 L 22.937 46.567 z\" transform=\" matrix(1 0 0 1 0 0) \" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><\/g><\/svg><\/p>\n<div class=\"Collapsible-proLivePlayerCloseOrExpand\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe title=\"Nvidia leading the rally\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/appchart?symbol=NVDA&amp;range=YTD&amp;type=mountain&amp;embedded=true&amp;%24DEVICE%24=undefined\" height=\"460\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"border:0;width:100%\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Nvidia leading the rally<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>&#8220;The secular trend of AI remains robust, and recent adoption and monetization trends should underpin the next leg of the AI rally amid a supportive backdrop,&#8221; Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, head CIO global equities at UBS, said in a note to clients.<\/p>\n<p>JPMorgan estimated that AI could drive $1 trillion of spending by 2030, including investments in generative AI computing, networking and storage infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the next few weeks could bring more volatility to the market. Investors are bracing for a July 8 deadline for reciprocal tariff suspension, while more jobs data are on deck next week to gauge the health of the labor market.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Markets often tend to see more volatility in the build up to conflicts and then rally or turn to other factors once it&#8217;s started,&#8221; said Carol Schleif, chief\u00a0market\u00a0strategist at BMO Private Wealth.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/26\/how-the-stock-market-made-it-back-to-a-new-record-even-with-so-much-still-to-worry-about.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 23, 2025. Brendan McDermid | Reuters An aggressive trade war, Middle East escalation and AI competitions overseas \u2014 None of 2025&#8217;s big curveballs managed to spoil the market&#8217;s epic comeback from the year&#8217;s lows as stocks stand within reach of a new<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[196],"tags":[94,2124,222,1539],"class_list":{"0":"post-17309","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-finance-news","8":"tag-market","9":"tag-record","10":"tag-stock","11":"tag-worry"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17309","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17309"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17309\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17309"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17309"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17309"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}