{"id":15760,"date":"2025-05-27T15:34:32","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T15:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=15760"},"modified":"2025-05-27T15:34:32","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T15:34:32","slug":"the-house-budget-bill-fails-key-tax-reform-tests","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=15760","title":{"rendered":"The House Budget Bill Fails Key Tax Reform Tests"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div>\n<figure class=\"embed-base image-embed embed-0\" role=\"presentation\"><figcaption><fbs-accordion classname=\"expandable\" current=\"-1\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">WASHINGTON, DC &#8211; MAY 22: Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) speaks to the media after the <span class=\"plus\" data-ga-track=\"caption expand\">&#8230; More<\/span><span class=\"expanded-caption\"> House narrowly passed a bill forwarding President Donald Trump&#8217;s &#8220;One, Big, Beautiful Bill&#8221; Act. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch\/Getty Images)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/fbs-accordion><small>Getty Images<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em>This column was co-authored with my Tax Policy Center colleague Bill Gale<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The recently-passed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/119th-congress\/house-bill\/1\/text\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/119th-congress\/house-bill\/1\/text\" aria-label=\"House budget bill\">House budget bill<\/a>, which extends all of the expiring provisions in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while adding tens of billions of dollars in new tax cuts, can be called many things, but tax reform is not among them.<\/p>\n<p>Improving the tax system requires policymakers to carefully <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/radical-income-tax-simplification\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/radical-income-tax-simplification\" aria-label=\"balance efficiency, equity, and simplicity\">balance efficiency, equity, and simplicity<\/a>. And in the current fiscal environment, it means achieving these goals while reducing, or at least not increasing, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/61187\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/61187\" aria-label=\"massive federal debt\">massive federal debt<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>These aims are challenging and often conflict with one another. But the recently passed House budget bill fails all four tests.<\/p>\n<p>For example, broadening the tax base\u2014getting rid of special interest tax breaks that create both complexity and inefficiency\u2014is a <a href=\"https:\/\/rudyct.com\/acct\/Taxing%20Ourselves%20A%20Citizens%20Guide%20to%20the%20Debate%20over%20Taxes%20(MIT%20Press)%20(Joel%20Slemrod,%20Jon%20Bakija)2017.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/rudyct.com\/acct\/Taxing%20Ourselves%20A%20Citizens%20Guide%20to%20the%20Debate%20over%20Taxes%20(MIT%20Press)%20(Joel%20Slemrod,%20Jon%20Bakija)2017.pdf\" aria-label=\"hallmark of good policy\">hallmark of good policy<\/a>. While the TCJA had some major flaws, it did take some steps to make the tax code <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/sites\/default\/files\/publication\/165999\/sweeping_changes_and_an_uncertain_legacy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/sites\/default\/files\/publication\/165999\/sweeping_changes_and_an_uncertain_legacy.pdf\" aria-label=\"simpler and more efficient\">simpler and more efficient<\/a>. For example, it doubled the standard deduction, repealed some itemized deductions entirely, and capped the state and local tax (SALT) deduction.<\/p>\n<p>But the House bill does just the opposite. While it scraps some complex and inefficient tax breaks, it extends many that were included in the original TCJA and adds lots of new ones&gt; It also adds tax penalties for universities, immigrants, and low-income purchasers of health insurance.<\/p>\n<h2>Failing The Fairness Test<\/h2>\n<p>The legislation violates the principle of equity, or fairness, in multiple ways. By focusing most of its tax cuts on high-income households and businesses, it makes the tax code more regressive. In a new analysis, <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/house-tax-cuts-would-benefit-most-tilt-highest-income-households\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/house-tax-cuts-would-benefit-most-tilt-highest-income-households\" aria-label=\"TPC finds the biggest beneficiaries\">TPC finds the biggest beneficiaries<\/a> in 2026 would be households making between about $460,000 and $1.1 million.<\/p>\n<p>For example, it increases the estate tax exemption to $30 million for a couple, which would benefit perhaps a few hundred heirs of the very wealthiest decedents at a cost of more than $200 billion over 10 years.<\/p>\n<p>And it treats those making exactly the same amount of income differently, often in arbitrary ways. Favored sources and uses of income get tax cuts while disfavored ones receive no benefit or in some cases even pay more in tax than under current law.<\/p>\n<p>At the request of the president, tips, overtime, and interest on auto loans would be tax free. Workers would be allowed to contribute more, tax-free, to health savings accounts. Donors could take tax credits for contributions to scholarship programs for religious schools.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, colleges and universities would pay more taxes, and those with the largest endowments would pay taxes equal to the corporate tax rate on those funds. But the tax won\u2019t apply to all colleges. The <a href=\"https:\/\/waysandmeans.house.gov\/2025\/05\/14\/ways-and-means-votes-to-make-2017-tax-cuts-permanent-provide-additional-relief-for-workers-reward-investment-in-america-and-hold-woke-elites-accountable\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/waysandmeans.house.gov\/2025\/05\/14\/ways-and-means-votes-to-make-2017-tax-cuts-permanent-provide-additional-relief-for-workers-reward-investment-in-america-and-hold-woke-elites-accountable\/\" aria-label=\"House Ways and Means Committee says\">House Ways and Means Committee says<\/a> the tax explicitly targets \u201cwoke elite, universities\u201d but it exempts religious institutions.<\/p>\n<h2>Adding Complexity<\/h2>\n<p>Provisions such as tax-free tips and overtime will <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/gop-efforts-downsize-trumps-tax-ideas-will-make-filing-more-complicated\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/gop-efforts-downsize-trumps-tax-ideas-will-make-filing-more-complicated\" aria-label=\"require pages of new regulations\">require pages of new regulations<\/a> to prevent people from recategorizing income to avoid tax. In many cases, filers will go through a complicated exercise only to learn they are ineligible for the tax benefits. Similarly, the bill\u2019s many phase-outs and delayed phase-ins will make economic decisions more complicated and uncertain.<\/p>\n<p>For example, the House bill limits deductions for top-bracket taxpayers. And it does so through a complex two-part formula where 5\/37 of the limit is based on their SALT deduction and 2\/37 is tied to their other deductions.<\/p>\n<h2>Making Taxes Less Efficient<\/h2>\n<p>The bill repeals or phases out many 2023 Inflation Reduction Act tax subsidies aimed at <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/bidens-tariffs-conflict-his-environmental-goals\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/bidens-tariffs-conflict-his-environmental-goals\" aria-label=\"boosting investment in green energy and encouraging consumption of US-made environmentally-friendly products.\">boosting investment in green energy and encouraging consumption of US-made environmentally-friendly products.<\/a> While the goal of slowing climate change is laudable, many of these subsidies were <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/clean-energy-tax-credits-cant-do-work-carbon-ta\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/taxvox\/clean-energy-tax-credits-cant-do-work-carbon-ta\" aria-label=\"poorly designed\">poorly designed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But too often the new budget bill would do little more than replace subsidies for Democrats\u2019 priorities with similar tax breaks for GOP-favored beneficiaries.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, banks would get a $1 billion tax cut on interest they earn on farm loans. Multinational corporations would get a $900 million tax cut on income generated in the Virgin Islands.<\/p>\n<p>The TCJA granted certain pass-through business, such as partnerships and sole proprietorships, a special 20 percent tax deduction. <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/publications\/tax-incentives-pass-through-income\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/publications\/tax-incentives-pass-through-income\" aria-label=\"That provision mostly cut taxes for a select group of high-income business owners\">That provision mostly cut taxes for a select group of high-income business owners <\/a>and encouraged them to restructure the legal form of their firms, a Tax Policy Center analysis found.<\/p>\n<p>Making a bad idea worse, the House bill would increase the deduction to 23 percent and <a href=\"https:\/\/taxlawcenter.org\/blog\/ways-and-means-proposes-making-costly-199a-pass-through-deduction-more-generous-and-valuable-to-high-income-earners\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxlawcenter.org\/blog\/ways-and-means-proposes-making-costly-199a-pass-through-deduction-more-generous-and-valuable-to-high-income-earners\" aria-label=\"expand the tax break to cover even more high-income business owners\">expand the tax break to cover even more high-income business owners<\/a>, according to the NYU Tax Law Center.<\/p>\n<p>But none of these tax breaks would contribute to economic growth based on everything we know from principles of sound tax policy or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w28680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w28680\" aria-label=\"research evidence\">research evidence<\/a>. All would require Treasury to write new rules to prevent abuses.<\/p>\n<h2>Losing Trillions Of Dollars<\/h2>\n<p>On top of all these problems, the bill would add trillions of dollars to the federal debt, which already is approaching $29 trillion. As written, it would cut taxes by $3.8 trillion over the next decade, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jct.gov\/publications\/2025\/jcx-22-25r\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.jct.gov\/publications\/2025\/jcx-22-25r\/\" aria-label=\"according to the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation\">according to the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation<\/a>. But that assumes that many of the bill\u2019s tax cuts will expire after a few years, a highly unlikely outcome given <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/briefing-book\/what-did-american-taxpayer-relief-act-2012-do\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/briefing-book\/what-did-american-taxpayer-relief-act-2012-do\" aria-label=\"past experience\">past experience<\/a> and the fact that Congress is now voting to extend 2017 tax cuts that it set to expire at the end of this year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.crfb.org\/blogs\/ways-means-draft-could-add-5-trillion-deficits\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.crfb.org\/blogs\/ways-means-draft-could-add-5-trillion-deficits\" aria-label=\"The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates\">The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates<\/a> that if the bill\u2019s provisions were permanent, the tax cuts would reduce federal revenue by $5.5 trillion over 10 years and add more than $6 trillion to the debt, including interest costs.<\/p>\n<p>A little more than a decade ago, the then-chair of the House Ways &amp; Means Committee, <a href=\"https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/briefing-book\/tax-reform-act-2014-fixing-our-broken-tax-code-so-it-works-american-families-and-job\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/taxpolicycenter.org\/briefing-book\/tax-reform-act-2014-fixing-our-broken-tax-code-so-it-works-american-families-and-job\" aria-label=\"Republican Dave Camp of Michigan, proposed a revenue-neutral tax reform plan\">Republican Dave Camp of Michigan, proposed a revenue-neutral tax reform plan<\/a> aimed at enhancing efficiency, equity, and simplicity. Since then, several groups have followed suit. Many blueprints exist. Lawmakers need to find the political will to follow one.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/howardgleckman\/2025\/05\/27\/the-house-budget-bill-fails-key-tax-reform-tests\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON, DC &#8211; MAY 22: Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) speaks to the media after the &#8230; More House narrowly passed a bill forwarding President Donald Trump&#8217;s &#8220;One, Big, Beautiful Bill&#8221; Act. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch\/Getty Images) Getty Images This column was co-authored with my Tax Policy Center colleague Bill Gale The recently-passed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[196],"tags":[856,459,1034,42,96,3826,97,1367],"class_list":{"0":"post-15760","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-finance-news","8":"tag-bill","9":"tag-budget","10":"tag-fails","11":"tag-house","12":"tag-key","13":"tag-reform","14":"tag-tax","15":"tag-tests"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15760"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15760\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}