{"id":10116,"date":"2025-02-13T12:12:42","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T12:12:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=10116"},"modified":"2025-02-13T12:12:42","modified_gmt":"2025-02-13T12:12:42","slug":"is-this-12-yield-about-to-go-down-under","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/?p=10116","title":{"rendered":"Is This 12% Yield About to Go \u201cDown Under\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>New Zealand is the most beautiful place I have ever visited. I was thinking about it recently because my son just returned from a trip there, so when a <em>Wealthy Retirement<\/em> reader asked me to take a look at the dividend safety of <strong>Spark New Zealand<\/strong> (OTC: SPKKY), I jumped at the chance.<\/p>\n<p>While I loved pretty much everything about New Zealand, I\u2019m not sure I\u2019d feel the same way about Spark\u2019s dividend safety.<\/p>\n<p>Growth has been hard to come by for the mobile phone company, which serves a nation of just 5.2 million people.<\/p>\n<p>Revenue has been flat for a decade, and cash flow has been falling for several years.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20250212_WR-charts_kiwi-catastrophe.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: none;\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full img-fluid img-responsive cc_pointer\" width=\"550\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Chart: A Kiwi Catastrophe - Spark New Zealand's free cash flow\" src=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20250212_WR-charts_kiwi-catastrophe.jpg\" style=\"width: 550px; max-width: 100%; display: block; Margin: 0 auto;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the company is paying <em>way<\/em> more in dividends than it\u2019s generating in free cash flow.<\/p>\n<p>In fiscal 2024, which ended in June, Spark paid shareholders $300 million while producing only $110 million in free cash flow. That\u2019s an enormously high payout ratio of 271%.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"jump\"><\/a>This fiscal year, the discrepancy is forecast to be even worse, with the company slated to bring in just $92 million in free cash flow while paying out $314 million in dividends. That would push the payout ratio even higher, to 340%. (Remember, I generally like to see payout ratios of 75% or lower.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20250212_WR-charts_spark-payout-ratio.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: none;\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full img-fluid img-responsive cc_pointer\" width=\"550\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Chart: Spark's Payout Ratio Is Bad... and Getting Worse\" src=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/20250212_WR-charts_spark-payout-ratio.jpg\" style=\"width: 550px; max-width: 100%; display: block; Margin: 0 auto;\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Spark only has $36 million in cash, so the only way it will be able to maintain its dividend is if it takes on more debt.<\/p>\n<p>The payout to shareholders consists of semiannual regular and special dividends, which have been fairly consistent. Combined, the yield comes out to a whopping 12%.<\/p>\n<p>The company hasn\u2019t cut the dividend in at least 12 years and has been raising it for the past few, so it has a solid dividend-paying track record \u2013 though it really can\u2019t afford the dividend that it is currently paying. (There have been a few slight reductions in the dividends paid to U.S. investors, but those are because of changes to the exchange rate, not actual reductions to the dividend.)<\/p>\n<p>The first thing the company needs to do is get rid of the special dividend, but even that won\u2019t be enough to make the dividend sustainable.<\/p>\n<p>Despite my fondness for all things Kiwi, I cannot give Spark New Zealand a good rating for dividend safety.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Dividend Safety Rating: F<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dkwegfj7whlol.cloudfront.net\/oxford\/wr\/grade-guide.jpg\" alt=\"Dividend Grade Guide\" width=\"300\" height=\"auto\"><\/p>\n<p>What stock\u2019s dividend safety would you like me to analyze next? Send me your requests by clicking here.<\/p>\n<p>You can also take a look to see whether we\u2019ve written about your favorite stock recently. Just click on the word \u201cSearch\u201d at the top right part of the <em>Wealthy Retirement<\/em> homepage, type in the company name, and hit \u201cEnter.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Also, keep in mind that Safety Net can analyze only individual stocks, not exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, or closed-end funds.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script>\n  window.fbAsyncInit = function() {\n    FB.init({\n      appId      : '555402891275842',\n      xfbml      : true,\n      version    : 'v20.0'\n    });\n    FB.AppEvents.logPageView();\n  };\n  (function(d, s, id){\n     var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];\n     if (d.getElementById(id)) {return;}\n     js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;\n     js.src = \"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js\";\n     fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);\n   }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));\n<\/script><script>\n    (function(d, s, id) {\n      var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];\n      if (d.getElementById(id)) return;\n      js = d.createElement(s);\n      js.id = id;\n      js.src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&version=v3.1&appId=555402891275842&autoLogAppEvents=1\";\n      fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);\n    }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));\n  <\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/wealthyretirement.com\/safety-net\/is-this-12-percent-yield-about-to-go-down-under\/?source=app\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New Zealand is the most beautiful place I have ever visited. I was thinking about it recently because my son just returned from a trip there, so when a Wealthy Retirement reader asked me to take a look at the dividend safety of Spark New Zealand (OTC: SPKKY), I jumped at the chance. While I<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10117,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[348],"tags":[1006],"class_list":{"0":"post-10116","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-retirement","8":"tag-yield"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10116","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10116"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10116\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/finderica.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}